“the economic environment is not particularly favorable for European small caps”, according to Goldman Sachs

One of the reasons weighing on small caps, according to Goldman Sachs: if China and the United States were to raise their tariffs by 10%, the already meagre growth of the eurozone would lose one percentage point, the specialists calculate.
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What analyst hasn’t a positive view on small caps? Historically, small caps have outperformed large caps, but this has not been the case for many years. The American investment bank Goldman Sachs notes that, to date, 2024 is no exception, across all regions.

And if in Europe small caps have underperformed the large caps by only 4% since then, this is mainly because Granolasthe “mega-caps” of the Old Continent, “have lost 7% since their peak in early September, comments strategist Lilia Peytavin. Indeed, “the macroeconomic environment is not particularly favorable to European small caps“.

These 3 factors weigh heavily

Firstly, despite the ECB, “bond yields remain high“and that “50% of small-cap debt is at variable rates“. Secondly, sluggish growth on the Old Continent weighs heavily on small caps, which are more cyclical and manufacturing-intensive than others.

Finally, “we feel quite counter-intuitively that the…

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