The government of Michel Barnier how long will he last? Appointed to Matignon two and a half months ago after the lengthy political sequence of early legislative elections followed by the search for a prime minister, the Savoyard has managed, thanks to a fragile alliance between the right and the presidential camp, to hold on for the time being against the two opposition blocs. If discussions are sometimes heated in the National Assembly, between the New Popular Front (NFP) and the nationalist bloc (Rassemblement National and Ciottistes), Michel Barnier is ploughing his own furrow. Even in these times of budget debates.

While he announced this week his “probable” use of article 49.3 of the Constitution to pass the 2025 Finance Bill, Michel Barnier is expecting one or more motions of censure to bring it down. The Left will table one. The party with the flame is hiding its game more, even if it is not yet showing any desire to overthrow the former chief Brexit negotiator. If the government’s durability will depend on the position of Marine Le Pen’s troops, Jean-Luc Mélenchonis convinced that it won’t last. Interviewed on France 3 this Sunday, the former rebel presidential candidate felt that the team in place “will fall between December 15 and 21”. next.

Mélenchon “encouraged to go”.

In this scenario, the tutelary figure of La France Insoumise assures that Emmanuel Macron will have to choose a new prime minister. An opportunity to “solemnly recall” that Lucie Castets “stays” the NFP’s candidate for Matignon, despite the President’s refusal to appoint her at the end of August in the name of institutional stability. “This is the position of the Insoumis, not that of the Socialists. We’ve spent hours discussing this, we’re not going to do it again every time there’s a change of government.”he said.

Referring to another political scenario, that of an impeachment of Emmanuel Macron, highly unlikely at present, and therefore an early presidential election, the former Marseille MP gave a further indication of his ambitions. “In view of (sound) eminent moral role within the insoumis movement”.Jean-Luc Mélenchon says “actively participating in the strategy”. “If it’s an election right away, no doubt I can be induced to go. If it’s in 2027, we’ve got enough succession.”said Jean-Luc Mélenchon. With a wry smile, he reiterated his wish to be “replaced”. “You’re all acting like it’s not happening…”